UPDATED: 11-04-25 19:23 PDT

cfp UTSA 1
  
UTSA                  
W-L: ( 5- 3) PR = 72.3215

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Texas A&M SEC ( 8- 0, 89.9) 24-42 906 H Texas State SUN ( 2- 6, 67.6) 43-36 913 H Incarn. Word 48-20 920 A Colorado St MIDW ( 2- 6, 64.5) 17-16 1004 A Temple AME ( 5- 4, 65.8) 21-27 1011 H Rice AME ( 4- 5, 61.2) 61-13 1018 A No Texas AME ( 8- 1, 77.3) 17-55 1030 H Tulane AME ( 6- 2, 73.0) 48-26 1106 A So Florida AME ( 6- 2, 86.4) 1115 A Charlotte AME ( 1- 7, 50.4) 1122 H Ea Carolina AME ( 5- 3, 77.4) 1128 H Army AME ( 4- 4, 71.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   830 A Texas A&M              24-42     -18   -22    +      2.00
   906 H Texas State            43-36       7     9          -1.68
   920 A Colorado St            17-16       1     4    -     -2.85
  1004 A Temple                 21-27      -6     3    ---   -8.60
  1011 H Rice                   61-13      48    15    ++     4.92
  1018 A No Texas               17-55     -38    -9    ---  -11.10
  1030 H Tulane                 48-26      22     3    +++   16.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1004 A Temple                 21-27      -6     3    ---   -8.60
  1018 A No Texas               17-55     -38    -9    ---  -11.10
   920 A Colorado St            17-16       1     4    -     -2.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1030 H Tulane                 48-26      22     3    +++   16.76
  1011 H Rice                   61-13      48    15    ++     4.92
   830 A Texas A&M              24-42     -18   -22    +      2.00

UTSA Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` UTSA   UTSA
California UTSA   UTSA
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Duke Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Florida St Florida St   Florida St
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Georgia Tech
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Miami Miami   Miami
UNC UTSA   UTSA
NC St NC St   NC St
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh   Pittsburgh
SMU SMU   SMU
Stanford UTSA   UTSA
Syracuse UTSA   UTSA
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Va Tech UTSA   UTSA
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Army UTSA insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) UTSA
Charlotte UTSA insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) UTSA
Ea Carolina Ea Carolina tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ea Carolina
Fla Atlantic UTSA tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UTSA
Memphis Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
Navy UTSA insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) UTSA
No Texas No Texas No Texas  
Rice UTSA UTSA  
So Florida So Florida insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) So Florida
Temple Temple Temple  
Tulane UTSA UTSA  
Tulsa UTSA insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) UTSA
UAB UTSA   UTSA
Arizona Arizona   Arizona
Arizona St Arizona St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Arizona St
BYU BYU   BYU
Baylor UTSA   UTSA
Cincinnati Cincinnati   Cincinnati
Colorado Colorado   Colorado
Houston Houston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Houston
Iowa St Iowa St   Iowa St
Kansas Kansas   Kansas
Kansas St Kansas St   Kansas St
Oklahoma St UTSA   UTSA
TCU TCU   TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech   Texas Tech
UCF UTSA   UTSA
Utah Utah   Utah
We Virginia We Virginia   We Virginia
Illinois Illinois   Illinois
Indiana Indiana   Indiana
Iowa Iowa   Iowa
Maryland Maryland   Maryland
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Michigan St UTSA   UTSA
Minnesota UTSA   UTSA
Nebraska Nebraska   Nebraska
Northwestern Northwestern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwestern
Ohio St Ohio St   Ohio St
Oregon Oregon   Oregon
Penn St Penn St   Penn St
Purdue UTSA   UTSA
Rutgers UTSA   UTSA
UCLA UCLA   UCLA
USC USC   USC
Washington Washington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Washington
Wisconsin UTSA   UTSA
Florida Intl UTSA   UTSA
Jacksonv. St UTSA   UTSA
Kennesaw St UTSA   UTSA
Liberty UTSA   UTSA
La Tech La Tech   La Tech
Middle Tenn UTSA   UTSA
NM St UTSA   UTSA
SHouston St UTSA   UTSA
UTEP UTSA   UTSA
We Kentucky UTSA   UTSA
UMass UTSA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UTSA
Notre Dame Notre Dame tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Notre Dame
UConn UTSA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UTSA
Akron UTSA   UTSA
Ball St UTSA   UTSA
Bowl. Green UTSA   UTSA
Buffalo UTSA   UTSA
Cen Michigan UTSA   UTSA
Ea Michigan UTSA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UTSA
Kent State UTSA   UTSA
MiamiOH UTSA   UTSA
No Illinois UTSA   UTSA
Ohio UTSA   UTSA
Toledo UTSA   UTSA
We Michigan UTSA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UTSA
Air Force UTSA   UTSA
Boise State Boise State   Boise State
Colorado St UTSA UTSA  
Fresno St UTSA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UTSA
Hawaii UTSA tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UTSA
Nevada UTSA   UTSA
New Mexico New Mexico   New Mexico
San Diego St San Diego St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) San Diego St
San Jose St UTSA   UTSA
UNLV UTSA   UTSA
Utah St UTSA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UTSA
Wyoming UTSA tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UTSA
Oregon St UTSA   UTSA
Wash St Wash St tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Wash St
Alabama Alabama   Alabama
Arkansas Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Auburn Auburn tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Auburn
Florida Florida tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida
Georgia Georgia   Georgia
Kentucky UTSA   UTSA
LSU LSU tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) LSU
Missouri Missouri   Missouri
Miss St Miss St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Miss St
Oklahoma Oklahoma insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ole Miss
So Carolina So Carolina   So Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee   Tennessee
Texas Texas   Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M Texas A&M  
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
App St UTSA   UTSA
Arkansas State UTSA tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UTSA
Coastal Car UTSA   UTSA
Georgia So UTSA   UTSA
Georgia St UTSA   UTSA
J Madison J Madison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) J Madison
Louisiana UTSA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UTSA
Marshall UTSA tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UTSA
Old Dominion Old Dominion   Old Dominion
So Miss UTSA   UTSA
So Alabama UTSA insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) UTSA
Texas State UTSA UTSA  
Troy UTSA tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UTSA
La-Monroe UTSA   UTSA

PowerWise = 68


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Texas A&M       ( 8- 0, 89.9)    24-42       -9.96      44.03       3.93         1.21            -3.64
   0 H Texas State     ( 2- 6, 67.6)    43-36      -32.32      21.66      -3.93         1.21            42.88
   0 A Colorado St     ( 2- 6, 64.5)    17-16      -35.36      18.63       3.93         1.21            54.55
   0 A Temple          ( 5- 4, 65.8)    21-27      -34.11      19.88       3.93         1.21           -18.25
   0 H Rice            ( 4- 5, 61.2)    61-13      -38.73      15.26      -3.93         1.21            27.39
   0 A No Texas        ( 8- 1, 77.3)    17-55      -22.61      31.38       3.93         1.21           -11.29
   0 H Tulane          ( 6- 2, 73.0)    48-26      -26.89      27.10      -3.93         1.21            56.03
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       147.67

winning pts = 180.8529 losing points = -33.1785

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------